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Kenya’s political landscape appears to be shifting rapidly ahead of the 2027 General Election, with a new TIFA poll showing a major rise in support for former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua’s Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP). The survey paints a picture of changing voter loyalties as established parties ODM and UDA continue to lose support across the country.

Highlights

DCP support rose from 6% to 16% within months.
ODM and UDA both recorded declining popularity.
Jubilee and Wiper also posted gains in the latest poll.
TIFA linked the changes to voter fatigue and political uncertainty.
The survey interviewed 2,013 respondents nationwide.

Main Story

DCP Registers Rapid Growth

A new opinion poll by Trends and Insights For Africa (TIFA) has revealed a sharp increase in support for the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP), associated with former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua.

According to the survey, DCP now commands 16 per cent national support, a significant jump from the six per cent recorded in November 2025.

The rise places the party among the country’s fastest-growing political movements as attention slowly shifts toward the 2027 elections.

ODM and UDA Lose Support

The poll also showed declining fortunes for Kenya’s two dominant political parties.

Support for the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) reportedly dropped from 32 per cent in August 2022 to 18 per cent in May 2026.

Meanwhile, the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) also experienced a decline, falling from 38 per cent to 17 per cent during the same period.

The findings suggest growing voter dissatisfaction and possible political realignments as parties prepare for the next electoral cycle.

Jubilee and Wiper Show Signs of Recovery

While DCP gained the most momentum, other parties also recorded improvements in support levels.

Jubilee Party rose to 11 per cent, while Wiper increased to nine per cent, indicating renewed public interest in alternative political formations outside the current dominant alliances.

Political analysts say the numbers may reflect frustration among voters seeking new leadership options and fresh political narratives.

Survey Conducted Across Nine Regions

TIFA stated that the survey involved 2,013 respondents interviewed through face-to-face household sessions across nine regions in the country.

The poll carried a margin of error of plus or minus 2.18 per cent.

The latest figures are expected to trigger fresh political conversations as parties begin repositioning themselves ahead of what could become a highly competitive 2027 race.

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